Watch out 2015, Supply Chain is Hot!

We are officially in the Digital age where smartphone usage is more than laptop or desktop utilization. The % of people shopping through their phones continues to increase. A third of the world’s population interacts through social media portals (Facebook, Google+, Instagram, Twitter etc.) And it is estimated that that CMOs spent $135 billion USD(1) on digital marketing last year.

While digital transformation drove a lot of new trends in supply chain as executives started to think about collaboration, analytics and a consumer centric supply chain, many could not figure out a path forward. 2015 and the next couple of years are going to be hot for supply chain. So fasten your seat belt and start thinking about how YOU will transform your supply chain.

sensorsTop analysts like Gartner predict that there will be 43 trillion GB of data by 2020 and 8 billion sensors(2) will be operational. We are seeing the industry gearing for Internet of Things and 3D printing, both of which will generate even more data. CMOs will continue to invest in customer engagement. Supply chain executives need to think about how will they integrate better with customer facing digitization, and what a new supply chain that could leverage all this data would look like.

Supply Chain analytics will become critical to create competitive advantage. Companies would need to develop multiple supply chains to align with their customer segments and one size fits all won’t work any more. The key would be to create an agile supply chain that operates on early sensing based on consumer data and can respond quickly without increasing operating cost. While analytics will help improve the bottom line, supply chain could get a seat on the table by improving revenue with offerings like co-innovation with customers and better integration with front end customer segmentation.

A good example would be from Retail and CPG where companies are trying to allure customers with new promotions tailored specifically to a region and sometimes even zip codes. We have seen that today’s customers not only look for better price but they customer_needswant timely delivery of goods and services with quality. So if you would have worked with your marketing team, you would be able to re-organize your network and inventory position to match those promotions in a cost effective way while delivering on price, time and quality. Although it might sound like you do it already, I would bet No! Key is how quickly can you re-organize for the next promotion while maintaining competitiveness and leadership in consumer demand. This is just one use case amongst hundreds but all predicated on Analytics and Collaboration.

How do you drive collaboration?

Supply chain executives would need to change the traditional metrics model and align operations with two goals – customer value and shareholder value. These are also the primary goals of any organization but when you look within your supply chains, you will find that cost is the primary driver and metrics are built around that. So establish a cross-functional group comprising of plan, source, make and deliver experts along with some data scientists to develop use cases that would align the supply chain with the two goals. And have this group work closely with marketing and R&D teams so that they can identify early and better ways to collaborate with suppliers and manufacturer. You will be surprised to see the outcome of such a think tank. And most importantly, make sure there is executive support without which such initiatives don’t deliver value.

new supply chain

One concern that comes up all the time is the lack of technology to support all these changes. My short response to it – get over it and get your CIO in your next meeting. Technology should not be a barrier any more. ERP leaders like SAP, Oracle and JDA have made huge investments to bring new innovations to the market, and there are hundreds of specialized niche firms offering world-class services with new technologies and innovations. I understand the initial investment but if you rationalize your ROI with the two goals I listed earlier, you will find a better business case (rather than cost savings only based on business case).

Now let’s quickly look into some of the industry specific trends that you should focus on.

Retail – Omnichannel. Last year retailers figured out a recipe to combat e-commerce but are not necessarily doing it right. Most are still working on operationalizing it. So your 2015 focus should be on how to do omni-channel right such that you can increase shareholder value while maintaining customer value.

Manufacturing – beware of 3D printing. Naysayers believe it will not have material impact but most tech companies are launching commercial and home-use 3D printers in 2015-16. Rather than fighting it, embrace it and see what products can move to 3d printing and create a new service model for you. And continue to focus on co-innovation with customers and business partners.

Life Sciences – what a year 2014 was with all the acquisitions. While you are focusing on patient safety and traceability, look at managing the supply chain assets as part of your M&A. Supply chain optimization should be a focus for executives to drive a safe and efficient supply chain.

Consumer products – just like the retailers, you are facing a stiff competition with e-commerce, rising imported product, razor thin margins and startups. What this industry had started few years ago and most companies did not do it right, should be back in focus – demand driven supply networks. And add social media insights to it. Drive analytics deep into the organization and restructure your supply chain.

I am excited about 2015 and the next few years. There should be a lot of innovation with the changes in supply chain. Here is my podcast with SAPInsider on this topic and I hope to connect with many of you at the SCM Conference in Las Vegas on March 30, 2015 (3).

Sources:

(1) Orchestrating a customer-activated supply chain, IBM Institute for Business Value (May 2014)

(2) Gartner

(3) Logistics and SCM 2015 

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Internet of things and You!

You, the consumer, are at the center of a disruptive digital revolution that is being led by technology. It started with social media (Facebook, Twitter, Pinterest etc.), got charged by mobility and smartphones (Mobile apps), and now awaits the next frontier with Internet of Things, 3D printing, wearable techs and sharing economy.

What is Internet of Things?

Over the years consumer electronics have become digital instead of mechanical. Cars have microchips controlling their engines, refrigerators have digital inverters, TVs are just another computer, air conditioners have chips, and so on so forth. Any digital device like a chip is capable of storing a software program that controls the device and potentially data like user preference, factory settings etc. Think of these devices as microcomputers like your laptop or desktop. Most recently, technology has sky rocketed with smartphones and smart devices that have a lot more capability and logic. To put things in perspective, just like you send an email, post something on Facebook or Twitter, these devices are capable of transmitting information. If we were to read all such transmissions and let the devices interact with each other in a digital space, we have an “Internet of Things” .

IoTCisco is forecasting that by 2020 there will be 50 billion connected devices or things creating the second largest interconnected network besides the universe. (Image source: Economist)

You, the Consumer

Whether you realize it or not, you are living in the Internet of Things. Check for yourself how many of the following questions you answer with ‘Yes’. I have posted mine below.

Do you own the following?

  1. Fitness band? No.
  2. Smartphone like iPhone, Android? Yes
  3. Health tracking app? Yes
  4. Electronic thermostat like Nest or Honeywell? Yes
  5. Smart refrigerator? No
  6. Amazon Dash? No
  7. Car with mobile app to lock/ unlock? No
  8. Medical device to record your health? No
  9. Home automation for lights etc? Yes
  10. Smart TV connected on Wi-Fi? Yes
  11. Mobile app based garage opener? No

The more Yes’ you have, the more you are a part of IoT.

Should this worry you?

Yes and No.

No, because corporates all over the world are now trying to leverage the information to provide better services and products that are tailored to your lifestyle. Gone will be the days where everyone had to buy what companies sold. IoT is forcing companies to learn about you, your habits, likes and dislikes, and in turn offer a personalized experience. Consumer is King (or Queen) again!

Yes, it is scary because it exposes your personal life and information to companies who may become overly aggressive in their targeted advertising. It also increases the risk of being hacked since Internet of Things is part of cyberspace just like computers and servers. Hackers can take control of these devices and plan new crimes. Although, there is a strong push already amongst big corporates to ensure IoT security is not undermined, your responsibility when buying such devices is to ask the seller about security standards and protocols.

New Social Era with IoT

Overall I am excited that the world is changing as we speak. All the futuristic movies we have seen and the cool concepts they imagined, a lot of those concepts will be “live” in our lifetime (next 2-3 decades). Driverless cars from Google, Drones from Amazon, smart watches, flurry of wearable techs and more will continue to redefine user experience.

While convenience and wow factors are feeding the innovation, implications for improving human life are tremendous. Medical devices that can alert doctors, smart algorithms that can predict diseases like cancer, AIDS etc, machines/pods that can reach out to the remotest areas, smart channels to improve irrigation, devices that can predict and lower pollution levels, technology to increase arable land, devices that could function as human organs…the possibilities are truly limitless.

Our predecessors witnessed the Industrial Revolution in the 19th century. It changed the world forever. We are blessed to be witnessing a Digital Revolution which will change the world as we know today. Good things always come with some Bad things. So will be the case with IoT. People will hack, people will develop new weapons of destruction, digital crimes may increase. However, it will once again come down to human responsibility to make the best use of Internet of Things. While governments and global authorities will have to define new rules and new norms, corporate responsibility will increase to ensure safety of consumer and society. But a lot will depend on You – how well you embrace the change, how well you will use it and how socially responsible you will be!

Welcome to the new world of Internet of Things!  

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Change Management: 5 key reasons why people don’t change?

A few weeks ago I had one of my best weeks in a long time. I met with some very smart and successful people from various levels and backgrounds. We were all assigned a mission so close to impossible that, to make it happen, simple out of the box thinking wasn’t going to be enough.

We did everything a team would do – brainstorm, think, argue, challenge, draw, conclude – and came up with a solid framework to address the challenge given to us. However, throughout the week there was a common theme – we could do everything with the latest technology but one challenge we could not come to a conclusion on was “How to change the people to do the impossible we were looking at?”

One evening I realized that as we much as we were discussing change for other parts of the organization, it had already begun for the people in the room. And while this team was suppose to change the face of the organization there were mixed feelings when the change was about them.

As I observed people closely over the next couple of days, here are some of the key reasons I identified as to why people don’t want to change

  1. It’s about ME factor – We can act as change champions for others but when it comes to ourselves, we get alerted and have to examine it thoroughly. Lot of questions loom over our head – how difficult will my life and my job become? What will it mean in the future? Will I have the same leverage as today? What about my personal brand? These questions become the first obstacle in why people resist change.
  1. Social impact factor – almost all companies have departments, functional teams and informal circles. Once people get past the “Me factor”, next up is their group. How will the change impact the role of their group? Will their power and/or position get diluted? What will be the new office dynamics? This is the social thinking in which people tend to extend their reservations to others, mostly in a negative way. It becomes a further barrier due to group effect.
  1. “In the change” factor – people who are selected to drive the change (change agents) go through their own set of questions first. What will be our role in executing the change? How painful will it be? How will we be measured? What if the change is not successful? Is it really worth it? Will this propel our careers? People have second thoughts on going through the process because you generally don’t make a lot of friends when initiating change at a massive scale. Primarily it’s a personal risk-reward analysis.
  1. Fear factor – fear is the biggest thing in our lives. In large companies it plays a prominent role due to organization structure, bureaucracy and culture. What are the executives thinking about the change? Are they withholding some information? Can we keep everyone happy in the process? What if we burn some relationships in the process? This fear is primarily in the extended relationships that generally hang by a thin thread and people don’t want to let them go.
  1. The historical experience factor – one of the strongest emotion people have is – that’s how we have been doing it, and have done it successfully. We all live in the glorious past and have successes that we want to extend into the future. We should. However people are not able to make the leap from the past to the new challenge that would require a significant shake up. A radical change often required radical thinking and transformation of ideas, people, processes and technology. While past successes can be leveraged, they are never enough.

change mgmt factors

As we met the last day, I looked at everyone in the room. It was interesting to see people in various stages of change cycle and which factor(s) were influencing them. The change had already begun without people realizing that they were in it. I was in it too!

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